TY - JOUR
T1 - External validation of the modified sepsis renal angina index for prediction of severe acute kidney injury in children with septic shock
AU - Stanski, Natalja L.
AU - Basu, Rajit K.
AU - Cvijanovich, Natalie Z.
AU - Fitzgerald, Julie C.
AU - Bigham, Michael T.
AU - Jain, Parag N.
AU - Schwarz, Adam J.
AU - Lutfi, Riad
AU - Thomas, Neal J.
AU - Baines, Torrey
AU - Haileselassie, Bereketeab
AU - Weiss, Scott L.
AU - Atreya, Mihir R.
AU - Lautz, Andrew J.
AU - Zingarelli, Basilia
AU - Standage, Stephen W.
AU - Kaplan, Jennifer
AU - Chawla, Lakhmir S.
AU - Goldstein, Stuart L.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023, The Author(s).
PY - 2023/12
Y1 - 2023/12
N2 - Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs commonly in pediatric septic shock and increases morbidity and mortality. Early identification of high-risk patients can facilitate targeted intervention to improve outcomes. We previously modified the renal angina index (RAI), a validated AKI prediction tool, to improve specificity in this population (sRAI). Here, we prospectively assess sRAI performance in a separate cohort. Methods: A secondary analysis of a prospective, multicenter, observational study of children with septic shock admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit from 1/2019 to 12/2022. The primary outcome was severe AKI (≥ KDIGO Stage 2) on Day 3 (D3 severe AKI), and we compared predictive performance of the sRAI (calculated on Day 1) to the original RAI and serum creatinine elevation above baseline (D1 SCr > Baseline +). Original renal angina fulfillment (RAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 8; sepsis renal angina fulfillment (sRAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 20 or RAI 8 to < 20 with platelets < 150 × 103/µL. Results: Among 363 patients, 79 (22%) developed D3 severe AKI. One hundred forty (39%) were sRAI + , 195 (54%) RAI + , and 253 (70%) D1 SCr > Baseline +. Compared to sRAI-, sRAI + had higher risk of D3 severe AKI (RR 8.9, 95%CI 5–16, p < 0.001), kidney replacement therapy (KRT) (RR 18, 95%CI 6.6–49, p < 0.001), and mortality (RR 2.5, 95%CI 1.2–5.5, p = 0.013). sRAI predicted D3 severe AKI with an AUROC of 0.86 (95%CI 0.82–0.90), with greater specificity (74%) than D1 SCr > Baseline (36%) and RAI + (58%). On multivariable regression, sRAI + retained associations with D3 severe AKI (aOR 4.5, 95%CI 2.0–10.2, p < 0.001) and need for KRT (aOR 5.6, 95%CI 1.5–21.5, p = 0.01). Conclusions: Prediction of severe AKI in pediatric septic shock is important to improve outcomes, allocate resources, and inform enrollment in clinical trials examining potential disease-modifying therapies. The sRAI affords more accurate and specific prediction than context-free SCr elevation or the original RAI in this population.
AB - Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs commonly in pediatric septic shock and increases morbidity and mortality. Early identification of high-risk patients can facilitate targeted intervention to improve outcomes. We previously modified the renal angina index (RAI), a validated AKI prediction tool, to improve specificity in this population (sRAI). Here, we prospectively assess sRAI performance in a separate cohort. Methods: A secondary analysis of a prospective, multicenter, observational study of children with septic shock admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit from 1/2019 to 12/2022. The primary outcome was severe AKI (≥ KDIGO Stage 2) on Day 3 (D3 severe AKI), and we compared predictive performance of the sRAI (calculated on Day 1) to the original RAI and serum creatinine elevation above baseline (D1 SCr > Baseline +). Original renal angina fulfillment (RAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 8; sepsis renal angina fulfillment (sRAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 20 or RAI 8 to < 20 with platelets < 150 × 103/µL. Results: Among 363 patients, 79 (22%) developed D3 severe AKI. One hundred forty (39%) were sRAI + , 195 (54%) RAI + , and 253 (70%) D1 SCr > Baseline +. Compared to sRAI-, sRAI + had higher risk of D3 severe AKI (RR 8.9, 95%CI 5–16, p < 0.001), kidney replacement therapy (KRT) (RR 18, 95%CI 6.6–49, p < 0.001), and mortality (RR 2.5, 95%CI 1.2–5.5, p = 0.013). sRAI predicted D3 severe AKI with an AUROC of 0.86 (95%CI 0.82–0.90), with greater specificity (74%) than D1 SCr > Baseline (36%) and RAI + (58%). On multivariable regression, sRAI + retained associations with D3 severe AKI (aOR 4.5, 95%CI 2.0–10.2, p < 0.001) and need for KRT (aOR 5.6, 95%CI 1.5–21.5, p = 0.01). Conclusions: Prediction of severe AKI in pediatric septic shock is important to improve outcomes, allocate resources, and inform enrollment in clinical trials examining potential disease-modifying therapies. The sRAI affords more accurate and specific prediction than context-free SCr elevation or the original RAI in this population.
KW - Acute kidney injury
KW - Pediatrics
KW - Precision medicine
KW - Prediction
KW - Prognostic enrichment
KW - Sepsis
KW - Shock
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U2 - 10.1186/s13054-023-04746-6
DO - 10.1186/s13054-023-04746-6
M3 - Article
C2 - 38017578
AN - SCOPUS:85178011458
SN - 1364-8535
VL - 27
JO - Critical Care
JF - Critical Care
IS - 1
M1 - 463
ER -